Almond prices today
The almond market plays a major role in the global snack and ingredients supply chain, with applications ranging from whole nut snacks to fine ingredients in baked goods and confectionery. At Expana, we offer trusted almond price assessments, detailed forecasts, and granular market intelligence to help buyers and suppliers stay ahead in a competitive, seasonal, and quality-sensitive market.
Expana – the IOSCO-assured global benchmark for almond pricing and market insight
Expana is the trusted source for almond buyers and sellers who need consistent, independent price benchmarks across the global almond trade. Our proprietary pricing data is IOSCO-assured and widely referenced across the industry for commercial negotiations, planning, and strategy.
We track benchmark prices for US-origin almonds, which account for nearly 80% of global supply. Our assessments cover shelled kernels, inshell grades, and ingredient-grade varieties – tailored to the needs of different destination markets, from India and the Middle East to Europe and Asia.
Our almond market coverage includes:
- IOSCO-assured proprietary benchmarks including supreme grade nonpareil almonds and blanchable almonds
- key market references such as U.S. Carmel almonds and Californian almonds
- weekly price reports and market commentary
- coverage of key producing regions, including California, Spain, and Australia
- insights into supply, grade trends, weather impact, and global demand signals
- historical price trends and trade analysis to support strategic decisions
Expana also enables you to model costs for almond-based products – ranging from snack mixes and roasted nuts to nut butters, energy bars, and baking ingredients – helping you better understand input volatility and optimise your pricing strategy.
Looking for full insights on the almond market? Get a demo today.
Unbiased and independent insights and analysis for the almond industry
Trusted data and insights, backed by experts
With Expana, you can trust that our data has been thoroughly vetted by top market analysts to ensure it is both accurate and reliable.
Our almond price forecasting methodology
Almond markets are shaped by long-term supply cycles and rapidly shifting global demand. Expana’s almond price forecasts are built on a structured, three-part model that reflects both the short-term triggers and the long-term fundamentals of the tree nut market.
- Macro-economic analysis: Tracks consumer demand, inflation, retail trends, and broader trade dynamics.
- Technical analysis: Uses tools such as moving averages and momentum indicators to highlight emerging price patterns and short-term shifts.
- Fundamental analysis: Focuses on crop yields, weather conditions, seasonal harvest cycles, and acreage trends in California, Spain, and Australia.
This integrated approach gives stakeholders the insight needed to plan ahead, price confidently, and respond to changing market conditions with clarity.
Use cases
Sam Pearl
Former Senior Buying Manager, Tesco
Efficiency
Save time and improve productivity with our actionable insights.
Cost control
Navigate market challenges and maximize long-term success.
Profitability
Utilize our data, market fundamentals, and forecasting expertise to gain a financial edge.
Risk mitigation
Manage risks proactively and minimize your exposure to price fluctuations.
Essential intelligence for industry professionals
Expana provides critical market intelligence to professionals in the almond industry, keeping stakeholders informed on price trends, production changes, and global trade dynamics. Our insights support smarter sourcing, help mitigate risk, and enable businesses to stay competitive in an evolving and margin-sensitive market.
Almond market FAQs
Expana’s almond benchmarks are updated weekly, with select series available on a daily basis. We provide consistent pricing on both shelled and inshell US-origin almonds, with some landed-in-Europe benchmarks included.
Supply is the primary driver, due to the slow and costly process of scaling tree nut production. Weather plays a critical role, particularly during bloom and harvest. Demand trends, shipping disruptions, and quality variations also affect pricing.
California is the dominant origin, producing around 75–80% of global supply. Australia and Spain follow. Key demand hubs include India (mainly inshell), Europe (ingredient-grade), the Middle East, and East Asia.
We cover a range of almond grades including Nonpareil Extra and Supreme kernels, Carmel Supreme, California SSR, standard 5%, and Nonpareil inshell. Pricing reflects US origin and use case across different markets.
Our platform helps you build COGS models for almond-forward products like roasted snacks, trail mixes, nut butters, chocolates, and bakery items, supporting margin tracking and product pricing strategies.
Yes. Our almond forecasts combine macro trends, weather impacts, technical indicators, and historical analysis to help you plan sourcing and hedge risk more effectively.
We provide weekly almond reports with pricing and market commentary, as well as regular analytical content that covers harvest updates, demand shifts, and comparative outlooks across origins.
Expana focuses on California-origin almonds, with pricing available for both US domestic and landed-in-Europe benchmarks. Our analysis also references Spain and Australia as relevant secondary origins.