Olive oil prices today
Expana provides independent olive oil price assessments, forecasts and market intelligence across the main grades and producing regions. From extra virgin and virgin benchmarks to harvest, stock and trade data, our coverage helps teams make better commercial decisions in volatile markets.
Use Expana to track current olive oil prices, understand market direction and build a more confident view of future pricing risk.
Olive oil price chart (Spain)
| Date | Price (EUR/kg) | MoM % | QoQ % | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3.73 | ↓ 8.6% | ↓ 15.2% | — | |
| 3.8 | ↓ 7.3% | ↓ 14.2% | — | |
| 3.9 | ↓ 5.6% | ↓ 12.0% | — | |
| 3.9 | ↓ 7.1% | ↓ 12.0% | — | |
| 3.95 | ↓ 7.1% | ↓ 12.2% | — | |
| 4.08 | ↓ 4.0% | ↓ 10.3% | — | |
| 4.1 | ↓ 5.3% | ↓ 10.9% | — | |
| 4.13 | ↓ 6.1% | ↓ 10.2% | — | |
| 4.2 | ↓ 4.5% | ↓ 8.7% | — | |
| 4.25 | ↓ 4.1% | ↓ 7.6% | — | |
| 4.25 | ↓ 4.1% | ↓ 4.5% | — | |
| 4.33 | ↓ 2.3% | ↓ 1.6% | — | |
| 4.4 | ↓ 0.7% | → 0.0% | — | |
| 4.4 | ↓ 2.2% | → 0.0% | — | |
| 4.43 | ↓ 2.6% | ↑ 1.8% | — | |
| 4.43 | ↓ 3.7% | ↑ 1.8% | — | |
| 4.43 | ↓ 3.7% | ↓ 1.6% | — | |
| 4.43 | ↓ 3.7% | ↓ 1.6% | — | |
| 4.5 | ↓ 2.2% | → 0.0% | — | |
| 4.55 | ↑ 2.2% | → 0.0% | — | |
| 4.6 | ↑ 4.5% | → 0.0% | — | |
| 4.6 | ↑ 4.5% | ↑ 7.0% | — | |
| 4.6 | ↑ 5.7% | ↑ 7.0% | — | |
| 4.45 | ↑ 2.3% | ↑ 3.5% | — | |
| 4.4 | ↓ 2.2% | ↓ 2.2% | — | |
| 4.4 | ↓ 2.2% | — | — | |
| 4.4 | ↓ 2.2% | — | — | |
| 4.35 | ↓ 4.4% | — | — | |
| 4.35 | ↓ 5.4% | — | — | |
| 4.5 | ↓ 2.2% | — | — | |
| 4.5 | ↑ 4.7% | — | — | |
| 4.5 | ↑ 4.7% | — | — | |
| 4.55 | ↑ 5.8% | — | — | |
| 4.6 | ↑ 2.2% | — | — | |
| 4.6 | — | — | — | |
| 4.3 | — | — | — | |
| 4.3 | — | — | — | |
| 4.3 | — | — | — | |
| 4.5 | — | — | — | |
Expana: the IOSCO-assured source for olive oil pricing and forecasting
Expana provides independent olive oil price assessments produced by specialist reporters, grounded in market indications rather than modelled from second-hand data. Our coverage spans the main grades and producing regions, supported by weekly commentary on harvest progress, stocks and trade flows. Our extra virgin olive oil EXW Andalusia benchmark is IOSCO assured, giving buyers and sellers a trusted, independently reviewed reference price.
Olive oil coverage is led by Kyle Holland, Senior Market Reporter, Oilseeds & Vegetable Oils. Explore related coverage on our vegetable oils and sunflower oil pages.
IOSCO-assured olive oil benchmarks
Expana Benchmark Prices (EBP) across Spain, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Tunisia and Turkey, with extra virgin EXW Andalusia IOSCO assured.
Forward price forecasts
Core forecasts projecting olive oil prices out to 18 months, with price targets, bands and commentary.
Full grade and origin coverage
Extra virgin, virgin, lampante, refined and pomace across Spain, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Tunisia and Turkey.
Supply and harvest tracking
Crop size, mill output, stock levels and the Spanish campaign that sets the global tone.
Price history and trend data
Weekly price history with month-on-month, quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year change.
Market commentary
Weekly analysis explaining what is moving olive oil prices.
Our olive oil intelligence includes:
Olive oil price forecast
Olive oil prices turn on the size and quality of the Mediterranean harvest, the pace of the Spanish campaign, stock levels and seasonal buying. Expana’s olive oil forecasts show where prices may move next, not only where the market stands today.
- Forward price projections across extra virgin, virgin, lampante and refined grades, out to 18 months.
- Short-term direction from harvest progress, mill output, buyer coverage and export availability.
- Coverage of the main benchmarks across Spain, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Tunisia and Turkey.
- Weekly signals on crop size, stock levels, demand and the Spanish campaign that sets the global tone, such as the drawdown in Spanish olive oil stocks.
- Price outlooks for volatile grades, including extra virgin and lampante.
- Scenario analysis for key risks, including weak harvest yields, quality concerns and shifts in export flows.
- Written commentary explaining the drivers behind each move and any change to the outlook.
- Practical insight to support procurement planning, budgeting and contract timing.
Forecast methodology last reviewed: October 2026.
Our olive oil forecasting methodology
Expana’s olive oil market forecasts combine macroeconomic signals, supply and demand fundamentals and technical analysis, so buyers can anticipate price shifts rather than react to them.
- Macroeconomic signals
We track consumer demand, currency moves and trade policy across the main producing and importing regions. - Technical indicators
We apply moving averages, MACD and RSI to read trend and momentum, including the oversold signals that often precede a turn. - Fundamental analysis
We weigh harvest size, mill output, stock levels in weeks of consumption, the supply and demand balance and seasonal patterns against a fair value band.
Our extra virgin olive oil EXW Andalusia price assessment is IOSCO assured. Read more about our price assessment methodology and IOSCO compliance.
This approach gives buyers, blenders and retailers a reliable reference point for negotiation, budgeting and contract timing.
Looking for full insights on the olive oil market? Get a demo today.
Latest olive oil news and insights
Analysis created and curated by our vegetable oils experts.
Olive Oil Market FAQs
What drives olive oil prices?
Olive oil prices are set mainly by the size and quality of the Mediterranean harvest, led by Spain. Stock levels carried between campaigns, seasonal buying, export flows and currency moves all feed into the price. Because most output comes from a single annual harvest, a poor crop can tighten supply for months.
What factors influence olive oil price forecasts?
Key factors include harvest yields, mill output, stock levels measured in weeks of consumption, the supply and demand balance, seasonal patterns, demand, currency and technical signals such as moving averages and RSI. Different grades and origins can behave differently depending on crop and quality.
Why does Spain matter so much for olive oil prices?
Spain is the largest producer, and Andalusia alone accounts for most of its output. The pace and size of the Spanish campaign sets the tone for the wider market, which is why Expana’s extra virgin benchmark is assessed EXW Andalusia. A large or small Spanish crop tends to move prices across all origins.
Essential intelligence for industry professionals
Expana delivers essential intelligence to industry professionals across vegetable oils markets, ensuring business leaders stay informed about the latest prices and industry trends, enabling them to effectively navigate disruptions, manage prices, and deliver value to their customers.