Durum wheat prices today
Durum is wheat’s specialist cousin, grown for pasta and couscous rather than bread, and Expana follows it from Canadian export benchmarks through Italy’s milling hubs to producer markets in France, Turkey, Spain and Greece. Independent assessments and forecasting give buyers a clearer read on a crop traded in far smaller volumes than common wheat.
Use Expana to track current durum wheat prices, compare origins, and build a more confident view of future pricing risk.
Durum wheat price chart
| Date | Price (CAD/mt) | MoM % | QoQ % | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unlock Unlock our durum wheat prices and future forecasts. | ||||
| 421.5 | ↑ 1.8% | ↑ 3.6% | — | |
| 419 | ↑ 1.2% | ↑ 1.7% | — | |
| 411 | ↓ 0.7% | ↑ 0.2% | — | |
| 413.5 | ↑ 0.5% | ↑ 0.9% | — | |
| 414 | ↑ 1.1% | ↑ 0.5% | — | |
| 414 | ↑ 1.7% | ↑ 5.6% | — | |
| 414 | ↑ 1.8% | ↑ 6.2% | — | |
| 414 | ↑ 2.3% | ↑ 4.7% | — | |
| 411.5 | ↑ 1.1% | ↑ 4.0% | — | |
| 409.5 | ↓ 0.6% | ↑ 3.5% | — | |
| 407 | ↓ 0.7% | ↑ 2.9% | — | |
| 406.5 | ↓ 0.9% | ↑ 1.6% | — | |
| 404.5 | ↓ 1.8% | ↓ 0.1% | — | |
| 407 | ↓ 0.2% | ↑ 0.5% | — | |
| 412 | ↑ 5.1% | ↑ 2.7% | — | |
| 410 | ↑ 5.1% | ↑ 2.2% | — | |
| 410 | ↑ 3.7% | ↑ 2.2% | — | |
| 412 | ↑ 4.2% | ↑ 2.7% | — | |
| 408 | ↑ 3.2% | ↑ 1.7% | — | |
| 392 | ↓ 0.9% | ↓ 2.2% | — | |
| 390 | ↓ 2.5% | ↓ 1.3% | — | |
| 395.5 | ↓ 2.3% | ↓ 0.9% | — | |
| 395.5 | ↓ 1.4% | ↓ 2.3% | — | |
| 395.5 | ↓ 1.4% | ↓ 2.3% | — | |
| 400 | ↓ 0.2% | → 0.0% | — | |
| 405 | ↑ 1.0% | — | — | |
| 405 | ↑ 1.0% | — | — | |
| 401 | → 0.0% | — | — | |
| 401 | ↑ 1.5% | — | — | |
| 401 | ↑ 0.5% | — | — | |
| 401 | ↓ 0.2% | — | — | |
| 401 | ↓ 1.0% | — | — | |
| 401 | ↓ 1.0% | — | — | |
| 395 | ↓ 1.3% | — | — | |
| 399 | — | — | — | |
| 402 | — | — | — | |
| 405 | — | — | — | |
| 405 | — | — | — | |
| 400 | — | — | — | |
Expana: the independent source for durum wheat pricing and forecasting
Our durum wheat assessments span Canada, Italy, France, Turkey, Spain, Greece and the US, grounded in market indications rather than modelled from second-hand data. Italy alone carries several regional benchmarks, reflecting how central the country is to Europe’s durum milling industry.
Durum wheat coverage is led by Andrew Kanyemba, Senior Grains Analyst. Explore related coverage on our grains, wheat prices and corn prices pages.
Global durum wheat benchmarks
Export and wholesale pricing across Canada, Italy, France, Turkey, Spain, Greece and the US.
Forward price forecasting
An Expana IQ Forecast, grounded in the Milan, Italy market, projecting durum wheat prices out to 18 months.
Regional Italian coverage
Separate benchmarks for Northern, Central and Southern Italy, reflecting the country's milling hubs.
Grade and quality tracking
Benchmarks spanning fino, good and organic quality grades, and durum bran and flour.
Price history and trend data
Price history with month-on-month, quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year change.
Market commentary
AI-generated commentary explaining what is moving durum wheat prices.
Our durum wheat intelligence includes:
Durum wheat price forecast
Durum wheat prices move with Canadian export availability, the Italian milling season and quality premiums tied to protein content. Expana’s durum wheat forecast, grounded in the Milan market, shows where prices may move next.
- A forward price projection for durum wheat, out to 18 months, grounded in the Milan, Italy market.
- Model-based forecasting capturing short-term momentum and the longer-term trend.
- Historical benchmarks across Canada, France, Turkey, Spain and Greece for wider context.
- Coverage of fino, good and organic quality grades, plus durum bran and flour.
- Signals tied to Canadian export flows and Italian milling demand.
- AI-generated commentary explaining the drivers behind the forecast.
Forecast methodology last reviewed: October 2026.
Our durum wheat forecasting methodology
Expana IQ Forecasts for durum wheat are automated, model-generated price projections built entirely through quantitative methods. We maintain a suite of statistical and machine-learning models and select, for each market, the approach that best fits its own behaviour.
- Short-term price movements
We track recent price action to capture momentum and near-term direction. - Longer-term directional trend
We identify structural shifts in durum wheat prices over time, beyond day-to-day noise. - Seasonality
We capture recurring calendar-driven patterns, such as the Northern Hemisphere harvest and the Italian milling calendar.
Where relevant, additional external drivers with a demonstrated relationship to price behaviour are also incorporated, including Canadian export flows and protein-premium shifts. Each forecast carries written commentary explaining the outlook in plain language.
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Latest durum wheat news and insights
Analysis created and curated by our grains experts.
Durum Wheat Market FAQs
What drives durum wheat prices?
Durum wheat prices are set by Canadian export availability, the Italian milling season and quality premiums tied to protein content. Because durum is grown in far smaller volumes than common wheat, a shortfall in a key origin can move prices more sharply.
Why does Expana ground its durum forecast in Milan, Italy?
Milan’s durum market carries a long, consistent price history across multiple grades, which supports reliable modelling even though Canada is the larger global exporter.
How is durum wheat different from common wheat?
Durum is a harder variety grown mainly for pasta, couscous and semolina, while common wheat is used for bread and general milling. The two trade as separate markets with different pricing drivers and a smaller global durum supply base.
What is an Expana IQ Forecast?
An Expana IQ Forecast is an automated, model-generated price projection built from historical price patterns, including short-term movements, longer-term trend and seasonality, with commentary explaining the outlook.
What is the durum wheat price forecast?
A durum wheat price forecast is a forward-looking view of how prices may develop over a set period, weighing export flows, milling demand and quality premiums. Expana’s IQ forecast projects durum wheat prices out to 18 months with high and low target bands.
Essential intelligence for industry professionals
Expana delivers essential intelligence to industry professionals across grains markets, ensuring business leaders stay informed about the latest prices and industry trends, enabling them to effectively navigate disruptions, manage prices, and deliver value to their customers.