Spot weather risks before they move markets
Expana’s weather data is mapped to 100+ commodities and 3,000+ prices, so you can see supply risk and act before it hits your margins.
Weather series mapped across all agricultural commodity categories
Extend your forward visibility
Expana’s weather and climate analytics helps you identify emerging supply risk, understand crop stress in key growing regions, and connect weather developments directly to commodity price exposure.
Prices, stocks and trade flows tell you what has already happened. Weather tells you what is building.
Precise weather data mapped to the crops you care about
Generic weather data is widely available, but doesn’t tell you if a storm is going to actually impact the crops you buy. Expana weather data is precisely mapped to the key crops that provide 80% of global production.
Our specialists analyze crop growing conditions country by country, so you can anticipate risks to production and prices, and act before they reach your business.
Weather data in context with price and history
Compare past seasons to understand what effect extreme conditions will have, and compare them to years when the outcome is already known.
Plot weather against the price series to see how prices responded to similar conditions in the past to better understand whether a price is likely to hold or change.
100+
Crops mapped
3,000+
Matched prices
80%
Of global production for key crops
2,000+
Individual weather series
Insight on the weather events that directly impact costs
Temperature, precipitation, and the outcomes of El Niño/La Niña show up in supply before they show up in price. Understanding crop stress gives you time to move cover, re-time a tender or challenge a supplier increase.
El Niño – Southern Oscillation
Seasonal climate patterns
ENSO shifts rainfall and temperature across entire regions and can hold that pattern for months. Tracked with NOAA’s official RONI index, which accounts for long-term ocean warming.
Knowing where the oscillation stands, and where it’s heading, is one of the earliest signals available for anticipating shifts in supply long before they show up in the numbers.
Image data source: UK Met Office. 2012. OSTIA L4 SST Analysis (GDS2). Ver. 2.0. PO.DAAC, CA, USA.
Precipitation
Storms, rainfall and drought
Rainfall for crops isn’t determined from a single event, but a single storm can undo months of good growing conditions. The disruption rarely ends when the wind dies down: ports close, infrastructure is damaged, and logistics get backed up for weeks afterward.
Tracking weather events gives an early sense of what’s at stake, while following their aftermath shows how long the disruption is likely to linger.
Temperature
Ideal climates, heatwaves and frost
Behind every supply disruption is usually a weather story that started weeks or months earlier. Frost and heat at the wrong point in a crop’s cycle can damage it within days and quietly set the tone for a harvest long before yield estimates catch up.
Tracking conditions and monitoring daily temperatures let you see those pressures form in real time, rather than explaining them after the fact.
Weather data, delivered how you need it
Use it in the platform, pull it into your own models, connect it to your AI tools, or read the monthly report.
Platform
Weather indicators available for relevant series, so you can access key weather data alongside the price in the Expana platform.
API
Weather series for precipitation, temperature and ENSO, ready for your own models and cost models via Expana’s API.
MCP
Bring weather series and report content into your AI assistants and agents through Expana IQ Connect.
Report
The monthly Global Weather Report brings the season’s conditions together and explains what they mean for supply.
Start tracking weather risks before they impact your margins
Book a walkthrough with a specialist.
